Elena Rybakina vs Caty Mcnally — Beijing Round of 64

Beijing · WTA · Round of 64
Elena Rybakina
KAZ8
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
Caty Mcnally
USA
Caty Mcnally
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Rybakina E.
7-5 4-6 6-3
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.
7462
Mcnally C.
5631

Elena Rybakina defeated Caty Mcnally 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the Beijing round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in three sets, 7–5 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-02WimbledonR64grassElena Rybakina1-6 2-6
2021-04-05Charleston 1R64clayCaty Mcnally6-4 0-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Mcnally C.
100
Serve
26
34
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Mcnally C.
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
71%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Mcnally C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
73
Break points saved·Dominant
98
73
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Mcnally C.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+379 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1731
9.8Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1817
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Mcnally C.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
95

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Anisimova A.[3]
Noskova L.[26]
6-02-66-2
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[3]
Gauff C.[2]
6-16-2
Noskova L.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-31-67-66
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[2]
Lys E.
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Paolini J.[6]
6-746-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Kartal S.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[16]
6-726-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[6]
Bouzkova M.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[2]
Bencic B.[15]
4-67-646-2
Pegula J.[5]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-36-746-1
Kartal S.
Andreeva M.[4]
7-52-67-5
Noskova L.[26]
Potapova A.
6-26-4
Lys E.
Kessler M.
4-66-16-2
Anisimova A.[3]
Muchova K.[13]
1-66-26-4
Navarro E.[16]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-44-66-0
R32
Kessler M.
Krejcikova B.
1-67-53-0
Noskova L.[26]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-43-63-0
Navarro E.[16]
Boisson L.
6-21-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-00-0
Muchova K.[13]
Badosa P.[18]
4-2
Gauff C.[2]
Fernandez L.[25]
6-44-67-5
Bencic B.[15]
Hon P.
4-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-1
Pegula J.[5]
Raducanu E.[30]
3-67-696-0
Bouzkova M.
Kudermetova V.[24]
6-37-5
Paolini J.[6]
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-0
Lys E.
Rybakina E.[8]
6-31-66-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Zhang S.
7-6116-0
Kostyuk M.[23]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Sonmez Z.
6-37-5
Kartal S.
Joint M.
6-36-2
R64
Sasnovich A.
Osaka N.[12]
1-66-46-2
Kessler M.
Mertens E.[20]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[8]
Mcnally C.
7-54-66-3
Noskova L.[26]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-14-66-4
Kartal S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-36-0
Joint M.
Shnaider D.[17]
7-56-1
Navarro E.[16]
Ruse E.
6-37-60
Muchova K.[13]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Bucsa C.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Yuan Y.
6-06-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Zhu L.
6-26-2
Kostyuk M.[23]
Seidel E.
6-16-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.[29]
7-56-4
Badosa P.[18]
Ruzic A.
6-37-62
Bouzkova M.
Linette M.[33]
7-57-5
Kudermetova V.[24]
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Bencic B.[15]
Volynets K.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Jovic I.[32]
6-34-67-5
Pegula J.[5]
Tomljanovic A.
6-06-3
Gauff C.[2]
Rakhimova K.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.[25]
Sakkari M.
6-26-0
Hon P.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.
Alexandrova E.[9]
7-56-2
Zhang S.
Wang X.[31]
6-46-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sevastova A.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Mboko V.[21]
7-657-5
Sonmez Z.
Tauson C.[10]
6-42-66-3
Kenin S.[27]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Stearns P.
6-42-66-3
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-2
Ruse E.
Sramkova R.
6-26-2
Kartal S.
Parks A.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Cristian J.
6-46-0
Zhu L.
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-616-2
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.
6-26-4
Seidel E.
Frech M.
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Tjen J.
6-747-56-1
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-56-1
Osorio C.
Li A.
7-56-757-5
Sakkari M.
Krueger A.
7-656-757-5
Hon P.
Golubic V.
1-66-37-64
Potapova A.
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sonmez Z.
Wei S.
6-26-0
Bondar A.
Andreescu B.
6-47-64
Mcnally C.
Siegemund L.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Rakhimova K.
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Boulter K.
Baptiste H.
7-55-76-4
Krejcikova B.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kessler M.
Shi H.
6-27-65
Lys E.
Zhang R.
6-16-0
Zhang S.
Zakharova A.
3-66-16-4
Ruzic A.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Cirstea S.
Dolehide C.
6-26-3
Bouzkova M.
Maria T.
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Inglis M.
7-57-67
Sevastova A.
Birrell K.
6-37-61
Arango E.
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Galfi D.
7-665-76-2