Elena Rybakina vs Mirra AndreevaStuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Semi-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 April 2026
clay
#5WTA
2074ELO
2034Clay ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-1
Andreeva M.
Rybakina E.
762
Andreeva M.
510

Elena Rybakina defeated Mirra Andreeva 7-5 6-1 in the Stuttgart semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16, but Elena Rybakina had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardMirra Andreeva6-1 6-2
2025-02-17DubaiSFhardMirra Andreeva6-4 4-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingR16hardElena Rybakina2-6 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Andreeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Andreeva M.
100
Serve
62
9
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
94
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6Clay Elo 2002
Surface ELO
4.4+33 Clay Elo edge
6.7Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
8.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
93

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Andreeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
11°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%