Mirra Andreeva vs Elena RybakinaDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Andreeva M.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Rybakina E.
Andreeva M.
6462
Rybakina E.
4631

Mirra Andreeva defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Mirra Andreeva narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Mirra Andreeva closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartSFclayElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardMirra Andreeva6-1 6-2
2023-10-02BeijingR16hardElena Rybakina2-6 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Andreeva M.Rybakina E.
46
Serve
100
96
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
92
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
94
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1994
Surface ELO
7.0+116 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 2122
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.0
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
3.2
4.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
93

Andreeva M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rybakina E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Semi-finals
Tauson C.
Muchova K.[14]
6-46-746-3
Andreeva M.[12]
Rybakina E.[6]
6-44-66-3