Elena Rybakina vs Mirra AndreevaBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Rybakina E.
2-6 6-4 6-1
Andreeva M.
Rybakina E.
2662
Andreeva M.
6411

Elena Rybakina defeated Mirra Andreeva 2-6 6-4 6-1 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartSFclayElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardMirra Andreeva6-1 6-2
2025-02-17DubaiSFhardMirra Andreeva6-4 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Andreeva M.
100
Serve
46
34
Return
96

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
94
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 49 days (−1.0)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.0+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1994
6.7Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
92

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Andreeva M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw