Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina — Indian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
Elena Rybakina
KAZ3
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Elina Svitolina
UKR9
Elina Svitolina
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-4
Svitolina E.
Rybakina E.
762
Svitolina E.
540

Elena Rybakina defeated Elina Svitolina 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-13RomeQFclayElina Svitolina2-6 6-4 6-4
2025-04-22MadridR32clayElina Svitolina6-3 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsBRhardElina Svitolina1-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2021-06-21EastbourneR16grassElena Rybakina6-4 7-6(3)
2020-09-21StrasbourgFclayElina Svitolina6-4 1-6 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Svitolina E.
100
Serve
48
34
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Svitolina E.
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Svitolina E.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Svitolina E.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+113 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1997
6.9Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 2070
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.1
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Svitolina E.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
98

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
3-66-37-66
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Noskova L.[14]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Svitolina E.[9]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
6-17-64
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mboko V.[10]
7-606-4
Svitolina E.[9]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-24-66-4
Noskova L.[14]
Gibson T.
6-24-66-2
R16
Svitolina E.[9]
Siniakova K.
6-11-1
Rybakina E.[3]
Kartal S.
6-44-3
Noskova L.[14]
Eala A.[31]
6-26-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[16]
6-26-4
Pegula J.[5]
Bencic B.[12]
6-37-65
Gibson T.
Paolini J.[7]
7-52-66-1
Mboko V.[10]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Muchova K.[13]
6-26-0
R32
Eala A.[31]
Gauff C.[4]
6-22-0
Pegula J.[5]
Ostapenko J.[26]
4-66-36-2
Osaka N.[16]
Osorio C.
6-13-66-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Raducanu E.[25]
6-16-1
Muchova K.[13]
Ruzic A.
6-06-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Kostyuk M.[28]
6-46-4
Bencic B.[12]
Mertens E.[22]
6-26-3
Gibson T.
Tauson C.[17]
7-624-66-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Sakkari M.[32]
6-36-2
Kartal S.
Keys M.[15]
2-66-26-3
Svitolina E.[9]
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Mboko V.[10]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-46-1
Siniakova K.
Andreeva M.[8]
4-67-656-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.
6-46-1
Paolini J.[7]
Tomljanovic A.
7-55-76-1
Noskova L.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-756-46-4
R64
Siniakova K.
Fernandez L.[27]
5-76-47-61
Gauff C.[4]
Rakhimova K.
6-37-65
Muchova K.[13]
Bondar A.
7-56-2
Bencic B.[12]
Hunter S.
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Day K.
6-07-62
Osorio C.
Jovic I.[18]
4-67-646-3
Noskova L.[14]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-36-3
Keys M.[15]
Parry D.
6-46-3
Raducanu E.[25]
Zakharova A.
6-16-3
Kartal S.
Navarro E.[20]
6-13-67-62
Tomljanovic A.
Wang X.[30]
6-36-1
Kostyuk M.[28]
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Paolini J.[7]
Potapova A.
6-756-26-3
Sakkari M.[32]
Tagger L.
7-56-0
Ostapenko J.[26]
Volynets K.
6-47-65
Ruzic A.
Zheng Q.[24]
6-47-5
Cirstea S.
Shnaider D.[21]
6-27-60
Mboko V.[10]
Birrell K.
6-47-65
Gibson T.
Alexandrova E.[11]
6-37-5
Mertens E.[22]
Bucsa C.
6-26-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Sierra S.
6-06-0
Cristian J.
Joint M.[29]
0-66-27-5
Eala A.[31]
Yastremska D.
7-54-67-5
Anisimova A.[6]
Blinkova A.
5-76-16-0
Rybakina E.[3]
Baptiste H.
7-652-66-2
Osaka N.[16]
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
7-56-2
Svitolina E.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-654-66-3
Krueger A.
Samsonova L.[19]
3-67-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Sonmez Z.
6-47-64
Pegula J.[5]
Vekic D.
4-66-26-3
Tauson C.[17]
Putintseva Y.
7-696-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sakatsume H.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Sramkova R.
6-10-0
Vekic D.
Valentova T.
7-647-64
Cirstea S.
Maria T.
6-44-66-3
Osorio C.
Stephens S.
6-46-1
Siegemund L.
Marcinko P.
3-66-36-4
Zakharova A.
Seidel E.
6-26-2
Bucsa C.
Vidmanova D.
6-46-0
Kartal S.
Tararudee L.
6-46-4
Gibson T.
Li A.
6-37-5
Day K.
Jones F.
6-36-1
Tagger L.
Gracheva V.
6-26-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-756-1
Townsend T.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-1
Tomljanovic A.
Ruse E.
7-56-2
Parry D.
Williams V.
6-36-746-1
Baptiste H.
Arango E.
2-66-26-3
Sonmez Z.
Kessler M.
7-676-0
Sierra S.
Stearns P.
7-57-5
Sakatsume H.
Parks A.
6-46-3
Rakhimova K.
Andreescu B.
6-766-06-1
Putintseva Y.
Badosa P.
6-46-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Mcnally C.
6-26-746-4
Cristian J.
Tjen J.
4-66-47-66
Bondar A.
Jacquemot E.
7-657-5
Siniakova K.
Kenin S.
1-66-46-1
Potapova A.
Stakusic M.
4-66-17-5
Ruzic A.
Brady J.
3-66-46-2
Birrell K.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-16-4
Blinkova A.
Galfi D.
6-47-5
Krueger A.
Linette M.
6-16-4
Yastremska D.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Hunter S.
Frech M.
3-67-56-3