Elina Svitolina vs Elena RybakinaTokyo Olympics Bronze Final

Tokyo Olympics · WTA · Bronze Final
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Svitolina E.
1-6 7-6 6-4
Rybakina E.
Svitolina E.
17762
Rybakina E.
66541

Elina Svitolina defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6 7-6 6-4 in the Tokyo Olympics bronze final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3. Elina Svitolina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-13RomeQFclayElina Svitolina2-6 6-4 6-4
2026-03-04Indian WellsSFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-4
2025-04-22MadridR32clayElina Svitolina6-3 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2021-06-21EastbourneR16grassElena Rybakina6-4 7-6(3)
2020-09-21StrasbourgFclayElina Svitolina6-4 1-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Svitolina E.Rybakina E.
48
Serve
100
57
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1997
Surface ELO
7.0+113 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
89

Svitolina E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw

Bronze
Svitolina E.[4]
Rybakina E.[15]
1-67-656-4