Elina Svitolina vs Elena RybakinaRome Quarter-final

Rome · WTA · Quarter-final
#10WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 13 May 2026 ·
clay
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
Svitolina E.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Rybakina E.
Svitolina E.
2662
Rybakina E.
6441

Elina Svitolina defeated Elena Rybakina 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the Rome quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 32, but Elina Svitolina had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Elina Svitolina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsSFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-4
2025-04-22MadridR32clayElina Svitolina6-3 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsBRhardElina Svitolina1-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2021-06-21EastbourneR16grassElena Rybakina6-4 7-6(3)
2020-09-21StrasbourgFclayElina Svitolina6-4 1-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Svitolina E.Rybakina E.
Serve
100
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1995
Surface ELO
6.4+7 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 2122
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.5
Surface form
9.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
93

Svitolina E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rybakina E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CMainly clear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final