Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Quarter-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 April 2026
clay
#24WTA
1805ELO
1702Clay ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Rybakina E.
6-7 6-4 7-6
Fernandez L.
Rybakina E.
656782
Fernandez L.
774661

Elena Rybakina defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-7 6-4 7-6 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20TokyoR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2025-07-21WashingtonSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-7(2) 7-6(3) 7-6(3)
2024-08-12CincinnatiR32hardLeylah Fernandez3-6 7-6(3) 6-4
2024-02-12DohaQFhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Fernandez L.
100
Serve
47
9
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
87
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
96
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+300 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1702
8.8Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
3.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
98

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
11°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%