Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezDoha Quarter-final

Doha · WTA · Quarter-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#25WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Rybakina E.
6-4 6-2
Fernandez L.
Rybakina E.
662
Fernandez L.
420

Elena Rybakina defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-4 6-2 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartQFclayElena Rybakina6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(6)
2025-10-20TokyoR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2025-07-21WashingtonSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-7(2) 7-6(3) 7-6(3)
2024-08-12CincinnatiR32hardLeylah Fernandez3-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Fernandez L.
100
Serve
60
34
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
87
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
96
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
9.0+325 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1785
8.8Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
7.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
99

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw