Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez — Tokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
[2]
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
CAN
Leylah Fernandez
#22WTA
1839ELO
1802Hard ELO
$622kYTD
$8.0MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLWWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Fernandez L.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+334 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1802
8.8Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1839
2.8
H2H
7.2
8.4
Surface form
7.7
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
3.2
4.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rybakina E.
662
Fernandez L.
430

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.13
SlowFast

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartQFclayElena Rybakina6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(6)
2025-07-21WashingtonSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-7(2) 7-6(3) 7-6(3)
2024-08-12CincinnatiR32hardLeylah Fernandez3-6 7-6(3) 6-4
2024-02-12DohaQFhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Rybakina E.Fernandez L.
60%1st serve in+1%61%
72%1st serve points won+6%66%
53%2nd serve points won+4%49%
65%Service points won+5%60%
41%Return points won+1%40%
66%Break points saved+1%67%
6.6Aces / match+42.6
2.4Double faults / match+24.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Bencic B.[5]
Noskova L.[6]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Noskova L.[6]
Rybakina E.[2]
W/O
Bencic B.[5]
Kenin S.[10]
7-653-66-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Mboko V.[9]
6-37-64
Bencic B.[5]
Muchova K.[8]
3-67-57-5
Kenin S.[10]
Alexandrova E.[3]
6-02-67-63
Noskova L.[6]
Kalinskaya A.
6-01-0
R16
Kenin S.[10]
Sonobe W.
3-66-17-62
Muchova K.[8]
Joint M.
6-37-5
Bencic B.[5]
Gracheva V.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.[3]
Cristian J.
6-16-2
Noskova L.[6]
Kessler M.
5-76-36-4
Mboko V.[9]
Lys E.
6-16-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Fernandez L.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.
Shnaider D.[7]
7-642-67-65
R32
Shnaider D.[7]
Yastremska D.
6-36-1
Sonobe W.
Bartunkova N.
6-46-3
Gracheva V.
Wang X.
4-66-36-4
Muchova K.[8]
Vondrousova M.
6-21-0
Cristian J.
Charaeva A.
6-26-3
Kenin S.[10]
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Kalinskaya A.
Lamens S.
6-36-1
Kessler M.
Bucsa C.
3-67-56-3
Mboko V.[9]
Andreescu B.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Boulter K.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Sakkari M.
7-656-4
Joint M.
Golubic V.
1-67-656-2