Elena Rybakina vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaNingbo Final

Ningbo · WTA · Final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Rybakina E.
3-6 6-0 6-2
Alexandrova E.
Rybakina E.
3662
Alexandrova E.
6021

Elena Rybakina defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 3-6 6-0 6-2 in the Ningbo final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2024-01-08AdelaideQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-3
2020-09-14RomeR64clayElena Rybakina6-0 6-4
2020-08-24CincinnatiR64hardEkaterina Alexandrova7-5 7-6(6)
2020-01-06ShenzhenFhardEkaterina Alexandrova6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Alexandrova E.
100
Serve
52
34
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
65
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.1+310 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1800
9.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1844
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
83

Rybakina E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%