Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elena RybakinaShenzhen Final

Shenzhen · WTA · Final
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2020
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Alexandrova E.
6-2 6-4
Rybakina E.
Alexandrova E.
662
Rybakina E.
240

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4 in the Shenzhen final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2025-10-13NingboFhardElena Rybakina3-6 6-0 6-2
2024-01-08AdelaideQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-3
2020-09-14RomeR64clayElena Rybakina6-0 6-4
2020-08-24CincinnatiR64hardEkaterina Alexandrova7-5 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Rybakina E.
52
Serve
100
42
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
92
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Even
98
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
89

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast