Elena Rybakina vs Jasmine Paolini — Ningbo Semi-final

Ningbo · WTA · Semi-final
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
[3]
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
[2]
#13WTA
1930ELO
1885Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWL

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.1+251 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1885
8.1Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1930
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
7.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
6.3
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rybakina E.
662
Paolini J.
320

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
1.00
SlowFast

Head to head

2–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardJasmine Paolini7-6(5) 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayJasmine Paolini6-2 4-6 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartQFclayElena Rybakina6-3 5-7 6-3
2024-02-19DubaiQFhardJasmine PaoliniW/O
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardJasmine Paolini4-6 5-2 RET
2023-05-08RomeR64clayElena Rybakina7-6(4) 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Rybakina E.Paolini J.
60%1st serve in+7%67%
72%1st serve points won+14%58%
53%2nd serve points won+4%49%
65%Service points won+10%55%
41%Return points won+1%42%
66%Break points saved+11%55%
6.6Aces / match+4.52.1
2.4Double faults / match+0.81.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[3]
Alexandrova E.[4]
3-66-06-2
Semi-finals
Alexandrova E.[4]
Shnaider D.[7]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Paolini J.[2]
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Alexandrova E.[4]
Kessler M.
6-36-3
Paolini J.[2]
Bencic B.[6]
5-77-56-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Tomljanovic A.
6-26-0
Shnaider D.[7]
Zhu L.
2-66-36-1
R16
Alexandrova E.[4]
Yuan Y.
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Yastremska D.
6-46-766-3
Bencic B.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
5-76-47-5
Paolini J.[2]
Kudermetova V.
6-27-5
Zhu L.
Andreeva M.[1]
4-66-36-2
Kessler M.
Samsonova L.[8]
7-656-1
Tomljanovic A.
Sonmez Z.
7-666-3
Shnaider D.[7]
Muchova K.
2-66-16-2
R32
Samsonova L.[8]
Guo H.
6-26-4
Yuan Y.
Wang X.
6-36-3
Kessler M.
Kenin S.
6-16-0
Sonmez Z.
Sasnovich A.
2-67-56-3
Kudermetova V.
Ruzic A.
6-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Putintseva Y.
6-46-2
Muchova K.
Vondrousova M.
6-46-3
Yastremska D.
Mboko V.
6-37-63
Bencic B.[6]
Linette M.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Tauson C.[5]
1-67-646-3
Shnaider D.[7]
Wang X.
7-56-3
Zhu L.
Raducanu E.
3-66-46-1