

Jasmine Paolini defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 6-4 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 6–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Ningbo | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-11-02 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2024-06-05 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |
| 2024-04-15 | Stuttgart | QF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2023-08-17 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 4-6 5-2 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 4-6 5-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome | R64 | clay | Elena Rybakina | 7-6 6-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About