Jasmine Paolini vs Elena RybakinaRiyadh Finals Round Robin

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Paolini J.
7-6 6-4
Rybakina E.
Paolini J.
762
Rybakina E.
640

Jasmine Paolini defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 6-4 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13NingboSFhardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2024-11-02WTA FinalsRRhardJasmine Paolini7-6(5) 6-4
2024-06-05Roland GarrosQFclayJasmine Paolini6-2 4-6 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayJasmine Paolini6-2 4-6 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartQFclayElena Rybakina6-3 5-7 6-3
2023-08-17CincinnatiR16hardJasmine Paolini4-6 5-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardJasmine Paolini4-6 5-2
2023-05-08RomeR64clayElena Rybakina7-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
6.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
68
95
Break points saved·Dominant
20
89
Break points won·Even
95
92
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Even
84
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Paolini J.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw