Elena Rybakina vs Jasmine Paolini — Rome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
Elena Rybakina
KAZ7
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Rybakina E.
7-6 6-1
Paolini J.
Rybakina E.
7762
Paolini J.
6410

Elena Rybakina defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-6 6-1 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

2–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13NingboSFhardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardJasmine Paolini7-6(5) 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayJasmine Paolini6-2 4-6 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartQFclayElena Rybakina6-3 5-7 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardJasmine Paolini4-6 5-2 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Paolini J.
100
Serve
—
9
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
87
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+145 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1856
8.1Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
7.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Paolini J.
Freshness·Clear edge
91
76

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinina A.[30]
6-41-0
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Ostapenko J.[20]
6-26-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Kudermetova V.[11]
7-55-76-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Swiatek I.[1]
2-67-632-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Zheng Q.[22]
3-66-36-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-727-666-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Badosa P.
6-24-66-3
R16
Kalinina A.[30]
Keys M.[19]
2-66-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Vekic D.[21]
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[22]
Wang X.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.
Muchova K.
6-46-746-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-26-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-44-66-0
Rybakina E.[7]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
R32
Vondrousova M.
Sakkari M.[9]
7-56-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Bondar A.
7-626-4
Wang X.
Townsend T.
6-20-67-5
Osorio C.
Garcia C.[5]
6-46-4
Keys M.[19]
Azarenka V.[14]
W/O
Kalinina A.[30]
Kenin S.
6-46-2
Kasatkina D.[8]
Grabher J.
7-54-67-62
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinskaya A.
4-3
Bouzkova M.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
4-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Giorgi C.
7-646-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Linette M.[17]
7-56-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Tsurenko L.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[21]
Samsonova L.[16]
2-67-656-2
Badosa P.
Kostyuk M.[32]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[20]
Krejcikova B.[10]
7-626-0
Kudermetova V.[11]
Potapova A.[23]
7-53-66-1
R64
Vondrousova M.
Andreescu B.[24]
6-06-1
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[25]
6-44-66-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Paolini J.
7-646-1
Badosa P.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[10]
Kovinic D.
6-24-1
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pigato L.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
Potapova A.[23]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-4
Azarenka V.[14]
Stephens S.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Cirstea S.
6-33-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Pera B.[28]
6-46-4
Townsend T.
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-0
Vekic D.[21]
Sasnovich A.
3-66-36-3
Samsonova L.[16]
Kontaveit A.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Strycova B.
6-16-3
Kostyuk M.[32]
Liu C.
6-06-4
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[18]
3-66-37-5
Giorgi C.
Alexandrova E.[15]
6-46-2
Grabher J.
Teichmann J.[26]
7-645-76-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Cornet A.
6-37-62
Garcia C.[5]
Bogdan A.
6-43-67-5
Osorio C.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-2
Linette M.[17]
Noskova L.
7-646-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Ruse E.
6-26-3
Keys M.[19]
Frech M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.[30]
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kenin S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-646-2
Wang X.
Begu I.[31]
6-47-5
Kudermetova V.[11]
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Pliskova K.[13]
7-656-2
Bouzkova M.[27]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
R128
Vondrousova M.
Kanepi K.
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.
Wang X.
6-46-736-2
Strycova B.
Zanevska M.
6-13-66-3
Wang X.
Stefanini L.
7-627-62
Kovinic D.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fernandez L.
7-644-66-3
Kontaveit A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Badosa P.
Friedsam A.
4-66-27-62
Liu C.
Rosatello C.
6-796-26-2
Muchova K.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-5
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
4-66-26-3
Cirstea S.
Volynets K.
2-66-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Davis L.
6-36-0
Parrizas Diaz N.
Niemeier J.
4-66-46-2
Cornet A.
Martincova T.
7-626-4
Townsend T.
Bonaventure Y.
4-66-17-5
Osorio C.
Gracheva V.
7-641-67-64
Ruse E.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-16-0
Frech M.
Paoletti M.
4-66-27-5
Blinkova A.
Sherif M.
2-66-26-3
Kenin S.
Bucsa C.
6-36-787-5
Tsurenko L.
Svitolina E.
6-46-3
Stephens S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-1
Grabher J.
Brancaccio N.
6-43-66-2
Mcnally C.
Spiteri D.
6-06-1
Bondar A.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Pigato L.
Cherubini D.
7-52-66-3
Putintseva Y.
Tomova V.
6-757-636-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Errani S.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Rogers S.
4-66-16-4
Kalinskaya A.
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Bogdan A.
Hibino N.
7-56-0