Elena Rybakina vs Karolina MuchovaStuttgart Final

Stuttgart · WTA · Final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 April 2026
clay
#9WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-1
Muchova K.
Rybakina E.
762
Muchova K.
510

Elena Rybakina defeated Karolina Muchova 7-5 6-1 in the Stuttgart final on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQFhardKarolina Muchova6-2 2-6 6-4
2023-03-06Indian WellsQFhardElena Rybakina7-6(4) 2-6 6-4
2019-08-26US OpenR128hardKarolina Muchova6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Muchova K.
100
Serve
9
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
95
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
96
94
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.6+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1893
6.2Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
5.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
87
53

Rybakina E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
11°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%