Karolina Muchova vs Elena RybakinaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 August 2019
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Muchova K.
6-4 6-4
Rybakina E.
Muchova K.
662
Rybakina E.
44

Karolina Muchova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 6-4 in the US Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Karolina Muchova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Karolina Muchova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartFclayElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2026-01-04BrisbaneQFhardKarolina Muchova6-2 2-6 6-4
2023-03-06Indian WellsQFhardElena Rybakina7-6(4) 2-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Rybakina E.
70
Serve
100
44
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
92
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
91

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw

R128
Pliskova K.
Martincova T.
7-667-63
Babos T.
Suarez Navarro C.
6-2
Cornet A.
Pegula J.
6-26-3
Tomljanovic A.
Bouzkova M.
1-67-56-1
Bogdan A.
Dart H.
6-36-1
Cirstea S.
Siniakova K.
7-56-2
Townsend T.
Baindl K.
3-66-36-2
Halep S.
Gibbs N.
6-33-66-2
Bertens K.
Badosa P.
6-46-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Parmentier P.
6-17-62
Di Lorenzo F.
Kudermetova V.
7-646-2
Goerges J.
Vikhlyantseva N.
1-66-17-61
Vekic D.
Hogenkamp R.
7-646-3
Kanepi K.
Maria T.
5-77-646-3
Putintseva Y.
Brengle M.
6-36-3
Sabalenka A.
Azarenka V.
3-66-36-4
Bencic B.
Minella M.
6-36-2
Bolsova A.
Strycova B.
6-30-66-1
Wozniacki C.
Wang Y.
1-67-56-3
Collins D.
Hercog P.
6-34-66-4
Flipkens K.
Wang X.
3-66-26-2
Andreescu B.
Volynets K.
6-26-4
Kalinskaya A.
Stephens S.
6-36-4
Ahn K.
Kuznetsova S.
7-56-2
Ostapenko J.
Krunic A.
6-37-67
Riske Amritraj A.
Muguruza G.
2-66-16-3
Mertens E.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Pliskova K.
Parry D.
6-46-3
Petkovic A.
Buzarnescu M.
6-36-4
Kvitova P.
Allertova D.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.
Osuigwe W.
6-17-5
Williams V.
Zheng S.
6-16-0
Peterson R.
Puig M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Niculescu M.
6-41-66-2
Kenin S.
Vandeweghe C.
7-646-3
Siegemund L.
Frech M.
5-76-36-4
Zhu L.
Wang X.
6-36-4
Konta J.
Kasatkina D.
6-14-66-2
Gasparyan M.
Hon P.
7-646-4
Alexandrova E.
Stosur S.
6-16-3
Zhang S.
Golubic V.
6-26-1
Jabeur O.
Garcia C.
7-686-2
Sasnovich A.
Brady J.
6-14-66-0
Bolkvadze M.
Pera B.
6-35-76-4
Williams S.
Sharapova M.
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Bacsinszky T.
6-46-1
Muchova K.
Rybakina E.
6-46-4
Hsieh S.
Cepelova J.
6-45-76-3
Martic P.
Zidansek T.
6-44-66-1
Swiatek I.
Jorovic I.
6-06-1
Sevastova A.
Bouchard E.
6-36-3
Peng S.
Lepchenko V.
6-27-65
Davis L.
Larsson J.
7-56-2
Mladenovic K.
Kerber A.
7-50-66-4
Linette M.
Sharma A.
6-36-4
Gauff C.
Potapova A.
3-66-26-4
Keys M.
Doi M.
7-56-0
Sakkari M.
Giorgi C.
6-16-0
Osaka N.
Blinkova A.
6-46-756-2
Wang Q.
Dolehide C.
6-46-4
Kontaveit A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-1
Van Uytvanck A.
Hruncakova V.
6-46-4
Ferro F.
Saville D.
6-36-4
Barty A.
Diyas Z.
1-66-36-2