Maria Sakkari vs Elena RybakinaRome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
#43WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 8 May 2026 ·
clay
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Sakkari M.
4-6 1-6
Rybakina E.
Sakkari M.
410
Rybakina E.
662

Elena Rybakina defeated Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-1 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassElena Rybakina6-3 6-1
2024-12-27United CupRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2024-03-18MiamiQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-7(4) 6-4
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-7(4) 7-6(2)
2022-03-07Indian WellsQFhardMaria Sakkari7-5 6-4
2020-02-10St. PetersburgSFhardElena Rybakina3-6 7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sakkari M.Rybakina E.
Serve
100
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
6.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
92
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Slight edge
87
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Clay Elo 1754
Surface ELO
8.4+248 Clay Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
8.8
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.7
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
85

Sakkari M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final