Elena Rybakina vs Maria Sakkari — Miami Quarter-final

Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
Elena Rybakina
KAZ4
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Maria Sakkari
GRE8
Maria Sakkari
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-7 6-4
Sakkari M.
Rybakina E.
76462
Sakkari M.
57741

Elena Rybakina defeated Maria Sakkari 7-5 6-7 6-4 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayElena Rybakina4-6 1-6
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassElena Rybakina6-3 6-1
2024-12-27United CupRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-7(4) 7-6(2)
2022-03-07Indian WellsQFhardMaria Sakkari7-5 6-4
2020-02-10St. PetersburgSFhardElena Rybakina3-6 7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Sakkari M.
100
Serve
24
34
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Slight edge
96
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Sakkari M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+314 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1796
9.3Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1812
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.5
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.1
Country comfort
5.8
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Even
91
90

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Collins D.
Rybakina E.[4]
7-56-3
Semi-finals
Collins D.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Azarenka V.[27]
6-40-67-62
Quarter-finals
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Putintseva Y.
7-641-66-3
Rybakina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-56-746-4
Collins D.
Garcia C.[23]
6-36-2
R16
Sakkari M.[8]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
W/O
Garcia C.[23]
Gauff C.[3]
6-31-66-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Keys M.[17]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[20]
7-616-3
Putintseva Y.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-47-65
Azarenka V.[27]
Boulter K.[24]
7-56-1
Collins D.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-2
R32
Cirstea S.[19]
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Garcia C.[23]
Osaka N.
7-647-5
Sakkari M.[8]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-56-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
6-43-66-3
Navarro E.[20]
Paolini J.[12]
6-23-66-0
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[31]
7-56-4
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-36-1
Keys M.[17]
Wang X.
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[4]
Townsend T.
6-36-736-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-47-5
Putintseva Y.
Minnen G.
6-22-66-4
Kalinina A.[32]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-41-66-1
Collins D.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Boulter K.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[11]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-776-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Dodin O.
6-46-0
R64
Pegula J.[5]
Zhu L.
6-44-1
Garcia C.[23]
Tomova V.
6-15-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Liu C.
6-01-0
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[7]
Siniakova K.
4-66-31-0
Boulter K.[24]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-651-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Giorgi C.
6-16-1
Townsend T.
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Vekic D.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Timofeeva M.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[12]
Volynets K.
7-687-5
Fernandez L.[31]
Arango E.
6-46-2
Gauff C.[3]
Podoroska N.
6-16-2
Dodin O.
Rus A.
6-43-66-3
Collins D.
Potapova A.[30]
6-26-2
Yastremska D.[28]
Saville D.
7-57-5
Keys M.[17]
Shnaider D.
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[4]
Tauson C.
3-67-56-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Stearns P.
7-53-66-4
Minnen G.
Tsurenko L.
7-56-1
Kalinina A.[32]
Wozniacki C.
5-77-56-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Badosa P.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[20]
Hunter S.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Wang X.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-636-4
Avanesyan E.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-14-66-3
Wang X.
Kudermetova V.[16]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[8]
Yuan Y.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
Rogers S.
6-26-1
Cirstea S.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-1
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Parry D.
3-66-16-4
Putintseva Y.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-14-66-3
R128
Tauson C.
Dolehide C.
6-33-66-2
Hunter S.
Trevisan M.
6-33-0
Volynets K.
Kenin S.
6-24-66-3
Arango E.
Maria T.
6-26-3
Stephens S.
Kerber A.
6-26-3
Collins D.
Pera B.
3-66-16-1
Tsurenko L.
Linette M.
2-66-16-4
Wozniacki C.
Burel C.
6-16-4
Siegemund L.
Krunic A.
4-66-26-2
Rogers S.
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-46-2
Siniakova K.
Bogdan A.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Williams V.
6-36-3
Giorgi C.
Frech M.
6-46-2
Timofeeva M.
Gracheva V.
6-36-3
Zhu L.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Martic P.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-03-66-1
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-42-66-4
Wang X.
Baptiste H.
7-616-3
Townsend T.
Bronzetti L.
3-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Carle M.
6-36-3
Parry D.
Cristian J.
7-626-2
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Badosa P.
Halep S.
1-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Blinkova A.
6-46-2
Vekic D.
Pliskova K.
6-42-66-2
Tomova V.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-4
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-26-3
Putintseva Y.
Bucsa C.
6-23-66-4