Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina — Indian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
Maria Sakkari
GRE6
Maria Sakkari
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
Elena Rybakina
KAZ17
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Sakkari M.
7-5 6-4
Rybakina E.
Sakkari M.
762
Rybakina E.
540

Maria Sakkari defeated Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's round of 64. Maria Sakkari claimed a first win over Elena Rybakina in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayElena Rybakina4-6 1-6
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassElena Rybakina6-3 6-1
2024-12-27United CupRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2024-03-18MiamiQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-7(4) 6-4
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-7(4) 7-6(2)
2020-02-10St. PetersburgSFhardElena Rybakina3-6 7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Rybakina E.
24
Serve
100
39
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sakkari M.Rybakina E.
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakkari M.Rybakina E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
92
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Slight edge
87
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakkari M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Rybakina E.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.8Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
9.2+314 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2122
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakkari M.Rybakina E.
Freshness·Even
90
91

Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Sakkari M.[6]
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[6]
Badosa P.[5]
6-24-66-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Halep S.[24]
7-666-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Keys M.[25]
6-16-0
Badosa P.[5]
Kudermetova V.[21]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Rybakina E.[17]
7-56-4
Halep S.[24]
Martic P.
6-16-1
R16
Keys M.[25]
Dart H.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[5]
Fernandez L.[18]
6-46-4
Kudermetova V.[21]
Vondrousova M.[30]
7-656-757-5
Halep S.[24]
Cirstea S.[26]
6-16-4
Martic P.
Samsonova L.[28]
7-666-4
Sakkari M.[6]
Saville D.
4-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Kerber A.[15]
4-66-26-3
Rybakina E.[17]
Golubic V.[31]
7-656-2
R32
Cirstea S.[26]
Kalinskaya A.
5-76-16-0
Halep S.[24]
Gauff C.[16]
6-36-4
Martic P.
Raducanu E.[11]
6-736-47-5
Samsonova L.[28]
Kovinic D.
6-47-64
Kerber A.[15]
Kasatkina D.[23]
6-26-1
Dart H.
Kanepi K.
7-646-3
Keys M.[25]
Riske Amritraj A.
7-646-1
Badosa P.[5]
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
7-646-1
Fernandez L.[18]
Rogers S.
6-13-66-3
Vondrousova M.[30]
Kontaveit A.[4]
3-67-57-65
Sakkari M.[6]
Kvitova P.[27]
6-36-0
Saville D.
Mertens E.[20]
6-34-66-3
Rybakina E.[17]
Azarenka V.[13]
6-36-4
Golubic V.[31]
Paolini J.
7-51-67-64
Kudermetova V.[21]
Bouzkova M.
6-40-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[29]
6-736-26-1
R64
Raducanu E.[11]
Garcia C.
6-13-66-1
Kovinic D.
Pliskova K.[7]
2-67-56-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Kalinina A.
5-76-06-1
Tauson C.[29]
Haddad Maia B.
6-46-3
Kasatkina D.[23]
Volynets K.
6-44-67-5
Kanepi K.
Bencic B.[22]
6-46-3
Keys M.[25]
Doi M.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.[5]
Martincova T.
6-27-64
Fernandez L.[18]
Anisimova A.
2-67-60
Bouzkova M.
Pegula J.[14]
5-76-26-0
Vondrousova M.[30]
Frech M.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-37-5
Kvitova P.[27]
Sasnovich A.
6-746-46-4
Mertens E.[20]
Kostyuk M.
6-26-1
Saville D.
Jabeur O.[9]
7-56-706-4
Azarenka V.[13]
Sharma A.
6-37-5
Paolini J.
Sabalenka A.[2]
2-66-36-3
Halep S.[24]
Alexandrova E.
6-24-66-2
Gauff C.[16]
Liu C.
6-17-64
Samsonova L.[28]
Li A.
4-66-46-3
Kudermetova V.[21]
Osaka N.
6-06-4
Dart H.
Svitolina E.[12]
2-66-36-3
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
Juvan K.
3-67-56-3
Martic P.
Zidansek T.[19]
7-57-66
Riske Amritraj A.
Muguruza G.[8]
0-66-36-1
Rogers S.
Ostapenko J.[10]
7-57-67
Kerber A.[15]
Zheng Q.
6-25-76-4
Kontaveit A.[4]
Kucova K.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.[26]
Tomljanovic A.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[17]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-17-5
Kalinskaya A.
Cornet A.[33]
6-40-66-2
Golubic V.[31]
Putintseva Y.
6-32-66-4
R128
Kostyuk M.
Zanevska M.
6-757-667-5
Liu C.
Tomova V.
7-626-4
Garcia C.
Yastremska D.
6-46-787-5
Martic P.
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Dodin O.
6-36-3
Anisimova A.
Navarro E.
6-26-2
Rogers S.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-15-77-63
Osaka N.
Stephens S.
3-66-16-2
Frech M.
Sherif M.
6-27-5
Sharma A.
Linette M.
6-47-61
Van Uytvanck A.
Galfi D.
7-636-4
Putintseva Y.
Krueger A.
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Tan H.
6-21-0
Haddad Maia B.
Kenin S.
6-37-5
Volynets K.
Rus A.
4-66-46-1
Zheng Q.
Zvonareva V.
6-36-2
Doi M.
Potapova A.
0-66-46-3
Riske Amritraj A.
Mcnally C.
6-06-3
Martincova T.
Watson H.
6-26-1
Dart H.
Konjuh A.
6-13-1
Sasnovich A.
Osorio C.
6-45-0
Paolini J.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Kucova K.
Ruse E.
4-66-46-1
Kovinic D.
Teichmann J.
7-57-5
Kanepi K.
Montgomery R.
6-36-3
Kalinina A.
Burel C.
6-36-2
Bouzkova M.
Wang Q.
6-37-65
Alexandrova E.
Kalieva E.
4-66-27-67
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Baptiste H.
6-22-66-2
Li A.
Brengle M.
1-67-656-0
Siniakova K.
Begu I.
6-24-66-4