Elena Rybakina vs Maria SakkariSt. Petersburg Semi-final

St. Petersburg · WTA · Semi-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2020
hard
#37WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
Rybakina E.
3-6 7-5 6-1
Sakkari M.
Rybakina E.
3762
Sakkari M.
6511

Elena Rybakina defeated Maria Sakkari 3-6 7-5 6-1 in the St. Petersburg semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayElena Rybakina4-6 1-6
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassElena Rybakina6-3 6-1
2024-12-27United CupRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2024-03-18MiamiQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-7(4) 6-4
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-7(4) 7-6(2)
2022-03-07Indian WellsQFhardMaria Sakkari7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Sakkari M.
100
Serve
24
34
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Slight edge
96
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
77
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
92

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast