Naomi Osaka vs Iga SwiatekRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#14WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 11 May 2026 ·
clay
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Osaka N.
2-6 1-6
Swiatek I.
Osaka N.
210
Swiatek I.
662

Iga Swiatek defeated Naomi Osaka 6-2 6-1 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayIga Swiatek7-6(1) 1-6 7-5
2022-03-21MiamiFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-0
2019-08-05TorontoR16hardNaomi Osaka7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
100
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1886
Surface ELO
7.2+122 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 2064
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.3
Surface form
6.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
87

Osaka N.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final