Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Cincinnati Semi-final
USA3
POL7
Pegula J.
Jessica Pegula defeated Iga Swiatek in the semifinals of the Cincinnati tournament, winning 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Pegula hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 64% of her first serves and converting 39% of break points. Swiatek had 1 ace and 7 double faults, winning 59% of her first serves and converting 50% of break points; she secured 6 service breaks to Pegula's 7.
Around the match
“Not the way you want the match to end. She didn't look good, obviously. Hopefully it's nothing serious and she's going to be ready for the U.S. Open.”
Swiatek I.Sportsnet.ca ↗“I was feeling anxious just looking at the situation, I hope Elena is going to be fine. It's a shame because I thought we were playing a good match, but health is a priority.”
Swiatek I.Cincinnati Enquirer ↗“I would describe myself as pretty strategic and someone that's always open to learning and getting better. I think I'm a great ball striker. I feel Iga has gotten back to her game, found her footing. A confident Iga is always scary.”
Pegula J.WTA Tennis ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula edged Iga Swiatek in three tight sets (7–5 4–6 6–4).
Head to head
5–8| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Rome | QF | clay | Iga Swiatek | 1-6 2-6 |
| 2025-06-22 | Bad Homburg | F | grass | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | QF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-11-06 | WTA Finals | F | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | F | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2023-08-07 | Montreal | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 6-7 6-4 |
| 2023-02-13 | Doha | F | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-10-10 | San Diego | SF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 4-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-08-29 | US Open | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Iga Swiatek | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami | SF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 5-7 6-4 6-1 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About