Iga Swiatek vs Jessica PegulaCancun Finals Final

Cancun Finals · WTA · Final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Swiatek I.
6-1 6-0
Pegula J.
Swiatek I.
662
Pegula J.
100

Iga Swiatek defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-0 in the Cancun Finals final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–5. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

65
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-13RomeQFclayIga Swiatek1-6 2-6
2025-06-22Bad HomburgFgrassJessica Pegula6-4 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2023-08-07MontrealSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-7(4) 6-4
2023-02-13DohaFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-0
2023-01-02United CupSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-2
2022-10-10San DiegoSFhardIga Swiatek4-6 6-2 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardIga Swiatek6-3 7-6(4)
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2022-03-21MiamiSFhardIga Swiatek6-2 7-5
2019-07-29WashingtonR16hardJessica Pegula5-7 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Pegula J.
67
Serve
68
98
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
100
96
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
5.5+36 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 2097
5.4
H2H
4.6
9.2
Surface form
8.5
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
68

Swiatek I.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About