Jessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekBad Homburg Final

Bad Homburg · WTA · Final
#4WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#3WTA
2064ELO
1909Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Pegula J.
6-4 7-5
Swiatek I.
Pegula J.
672
Swiatek I.
450

Jessica Pegula defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 7-5 in the Bad Homburg final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 7–4, but Jessica Pegula had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

47
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-13RomeQFclayIga Swiatek1-6 2-6
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsFhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-0
2023-08-07MontrealSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-7(4) 6-4
2023-02-13DohaFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-0
2023-01-02United CupSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-2
2022-10-10San DiegoSFhardIga Swiatek4-6 6-2 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardIga Swiatek6-3 7-6(4)
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2022-03-21MiamiSFhardIga Swiatek6-2 7-5
2019-07-29WashingtonR16hardJessica Pegula5-7 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
100
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1903
Surface ELO
5.6+6 Grass Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
91

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%