Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Cincinnati Final

Cincinnati · WTA · Final
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[3]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
USA
Jessica Pegula
[6]
#5WTA
2103ELO
2061Hard ELO
$2.6MYTD
$24MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Pegula J.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+150 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 2061
6.9Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 2103
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.5
Surface form
8.7
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
5.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.9
Country comfort
7.9
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
672
Pegula J.
350

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.11
SlowFast

Head to head

8–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-3
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-4 7-6(2)
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-5
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-05-09RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2021-04-29MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
65%1st serve in+1%64%
74%1st serve points won+3%71%
55%2nd serve points won+3%52%
67%Service points won+3%64%
43%Return points won+1%44%
69%Break points saved+5%64%
5.3Aces / match+0.35
2.1Double faults / match+0.31.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[3]
Pegula J.[6]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[3]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-36-3
Pegula J.[6]
Badosa P.
6-23-66-3
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Andreeva M.
4-66-37-5
Sabalenka A.[3]
Samsonova L.[10]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[6]
Fernandez L.
7-56-717-63
Badosa P.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-2
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-26-2
Andreeva M.
Paolini J.[5]
3-66-36-2
Fernandez L.
Shnaider D.
6-16-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Zheng Q.[7]
7-56-1
Badosa P.
Putintseva Y.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[6]
Townsend T.
6-26-3
Samsonova L.[10]
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-3
Sabalenka A.[3]
Svitolina E.
7-56-2
R32
Paolini J.[5]
Potapova A.
7-626-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Wozniacki C.
7-56-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Gracheva V.
6-06-786-2
Sabalenka A.[3]
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
Svitolina E.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Ostapenko J.[8]
2-66-26-2
Pegula J.[6]
Muchova K.
5-76-46-2
Townsend T.
Kasatkina D.[9]
6-12-66-1
Shnaider D.
Krueger A.
7-56-0
Fernandez L.
Rybakina E.[4]
3-67-636-4
Badosa P.
Kalinskaya A.[13]
6-36-2
Putintseva Y.
Gauff C.[2]
6-42-66-4
Zheng Q.[7]
Frech M.
6-17-5
Kostyuk M.[15]
Sun L.
6-37-5
Andreeva M.
Pliskova K.
6-26-3
Samsonova L.[10]
Linette M.
7-6106-1
R64
Potapova A.
Burel C.
6-42-66-1
Samsonova L.[10]
Wang X.
6-46-4
Kalinskaya A.[13]
Siniakova K.
1-66-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Haddad Maia B.[17]
4-67-646-3
Fernandez L.
Yuan Y.
3-66-46-3
Andreeva M.
Navarro E.[11]
6-26-2
Svitolina E.
Wang Y.
5-76-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Bronzetti L.
6-43-67-61
Linette M.
Boulter K.
2-66-07-5
Avanesyan E.
Andreescu B.
6-47-5
Townsend T.
Dolehide C.
3-66-47-67
Kasatkina D.[9]
Alexandrova E.
6-46-2
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[16]
5-77-646-2
Shnaider D.
Zhang S.
6-16-4
Putintseva Y.
Dart H.
4-66-06-1
Wozniacki C.
Kalinina A.
6-26-4
Badosa P.
Stearns P.
6-27-5
Sun L.
Noskova L.
6-47-64
Muchova K.
Yastremska D.
7-666-2
Frech M.
Bouzkova M.
3-66-46-3
Cocciaretto E.
Montgomery R.
7-54-66-3
Pliskova K.
Tomova V.
7-637-63
Kostyuk M.[15]
Mertens E.
6-42-66-4
Gracheva V.
Tomljanovic A.
6-32-67-65