Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka — Cancun Finals Round Robin
Cancun Finals · WTA · Round Robin
USA5#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023 ·
hard
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Pegula J.6-4 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
662
Sabalenka A.
430
Jessica Pegula defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-3 in the Cancun Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–3. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 9–4.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
3–9| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Berlin | SF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 4-6 7-6 0-6 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
91
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
89
Break points won·Even
97
98
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
100
100
Pegula J.: 15 days rest · Sabalenka A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About