Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka — Cincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
Jessica Pegula
USA
Jessica Pegula
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2020
hard
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR5
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Pegula J.
6-2 2-6 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
6262
Sabalenka A.
2631

Jessica Pegula defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 2-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–3, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 9–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

3–9
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-20BerlinSFgrassJessica Pegula4-6 7.7-6.4 0-6
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-3
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-4 7-6(2)
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-05-09RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2021-04-29MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Sabalenka A.
68
Serve
96
73
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Pegula J.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pegula J.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Even
96
98
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Pegula J.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
88

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw

Final
Azarenka V.
Osaka N.[4]
W/O
Semi-finals
Osaka N.[4]
Mertens E.[14]
6-27-65
Azarenka V.
Konta J.[8]
4-66-46-1
Quarter-finals
Mertens E.[14]
Pegula J.
6-16-3
Konta J.[8]
Sakkari M.[13]
6-46-3
Osaka N.[4]
Kontaveit A.[12]
4-66-27-5
Azarenka V.
Jabeur O.
7-696-2
R16
Jabeur O.
Mchale C.
6-36-0
Azarenka V.
Cornet A.
6-47-5
Kontaveit A.[12]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[13]
Williams S.[3]
5-77-656-1
Mertens E.[14]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Pegula J.
Sabalenka A.[5]
6-22-66-3
Osaka N.[4]
Yastremska D.[16]
6-36-1
Konta J.[8]
Zvonareva V.
6-46-2
R32
Kudermetova V.
Pliskova K.[1]
7-56-4
Mertens E.[14]
Mladenovic K.
6-16-756-3
Sabalenka A.[5]
Bellis C.
6-716-47-5
Kontaveit A.[12]
Teichmann J.
6-36-4
Bouzkova M.
Kvitova P.[6]
2-67-56-2
Konta J.[8]
Flipkens K.
6-26-0
Zvonareva V.
Siegemund L.
6-16-1
Williams S.[3]
Rus A.
7-663-67-60
Jabeur O.
Keys M.[7]
6-46-1
Mchale C.
Alexandrova E.
6-17-68
Azarenka V.
Garcia C.
6-27-68
Cornet A.
Kenin S.[2]
6-17-67
Pegula J.
Anisimova A.
7-56-2
Sakkari M.[13]
Putintseva Y.
6-47-69
Osaka N.[4]
Muchova K.
6-756-46-2
Yastremska D.[16]
Pera B.
7-654-66-3
R64
Zvonareva V.
Linette M.
1-66-36-1
Kudermetova V.
Tomljanovic A.
5-76-37-5
Mladenovic K.
Sevastova A.
6-36-4
Anisimova A.
Riske Amritraj A.[11]
6-36-3
Pegula J.
Brady J.
7-656-4
Bellis C.
Dodin O.
6-23-67-61
Muchova K.
Li A.
6-46-4
Pera B.
Watson H.
6-13-66-3
Yastremska D.[16]
Williams V.
5-76-27-5
Teichmann J.
Collins D.
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.
Kalinskaya A.
6-17-5
Flipkens K.
Siniakova K.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Vondrousova M.[10]
6-36-736-4
Rus A.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-26-3
Jabeur O.
Fernandez L.
0-66-46-3
Mchale C.
Swiatek I.
6-26-4
Alexandrova E.
Rybakina E.[9]
7-57-66
Azarenka V.
Vekic D.[15]
6-26-3
Garcia C.
Stephens S.
6-37-64
Cornet A.
Mcnally C.
6-06-4
Sakkari M.[13]
Gauff C.
6-16-3
Mertens E.[14]
Peterson R.
6-06-2
Putintseva Y.
Zhang S.
6-46-3
Kontaveit A.[12]
Kasatkina D.
6-36-1