

Jessica Pegula defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-7 6-0 in the Berlin semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–3, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 9–4.
Sabalenka staged a dramatic comeback from 0-4 down in the second set to defeat Bartunkova and advance to the Berlin semifinals.
“On grass, I don't always try to aim every shot too precisely. Grass punishes overthinking because the bounce isn't always completely predictable, so you must accept a certain level of improvisation.”
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Sabalenka A.: 17 days rest · Pegula J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About