Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Rome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR3
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 May 2022
clay
Jessica Pegula
USA13
Jessica Pegula
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-1 6-4
Pegula J.
Sabalenka A.
662
Pegula J.
140

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-4 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 8–4, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 9–4.

Key context

Head to head

8–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-20BerlinSFgrassJessica Pegula4-6 7.7-6.4 0-6
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-3
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-4 7-6(2)
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2021-04-29MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
—
Serve
67
—
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
96
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Pegula J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+162 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1941
6.9Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 2097
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
8.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
3.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
72

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Jabeur O.[9]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Sabalenka A.[3]
6-26-1
Jabeur O.[9]
Kasatkina D.
6-41-67-5
Quarter-finals
Kasatkina D.
Teichmann J.
6-43-2
Sabalenka A.[3]
Anisimova A.
4-66-36-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Andreescu B.
7-626-0
Jabeur O.[9]
Sakkari M.[4]
1-67-56-1
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Azarenka V.[16]
6-46-1
Sakkari M.[4]
Gauff C.[15]
6-47-5
Teichmann J.
Rybakina E.
6-736-37-5
Kasatkina D.
Badosa P.[2]
6-46-4
Anisimova A.
Collins D.[7]
6-26-2
Jabeur O.[9]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Martic P.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[3]
Pegula J.[13]
6-16-4
R32
Gauff C.[15]
Brengle M.
6-26-4
Badosa P.[2]
Sasnovich A.
6-26-1
Anisimova A.
Bencic B.[12]
7-656-1
Martic P.
Kontaveit A.[5]
6-26-3
Collins D.[7]
Halep S.
7-616-3
Putintseva Y.
Muguruza G.[8]
3-67-646-1
Sakkari M.[4]
Alexandrova E.
6-36-2
Rybakina E.
Davis L.
6-46-3
Pegula J.[13]
Kalinina A.
W/O
Kasatkina D.
Fernandez L.
4-66-37-62
Swiatek I.[1]
Ruse E.
6-36-0
Jabeur O.[9]
Tomljanovic A.
7-56-2
Sabalenka A.[3]
Zhang S.
6-26-0
Teichmann J.
Pliskova K.[6]
6-24-66-4
Andreescu B.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-37-64
Azarenka V.[16]
Osorio C.
6-26-4
R64
Kalinina A.
Keys M.
6-46-4
Parrizas Diaz N.
Sorribes Tormo S.
1-63-4
Anisimova A.
Martincova T.
6-20-66-4
Jabeur O.[9]
Cirstea S.
6-07-61
Gauff C.[15]
Kerber A.
6-16-4
Teichmann J.
Paolini J.
6-36-2
Davis L.
Ostapenko J.[11]
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.
Zidansek T.
6-46-3
Sasnovich A.
Kudermetova V.
3-67-646-1
Andreescu B.
Raducanu E.[10]
6-22-1
Tomljanovic A.
Giorgi C.
6-34-2
Osorio C.
Bronzetti L.
7-646-3
Azarenka V.[16]
Golubic V.
6-36-0
Zhang S.
Trevisan M.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[13]
Samsonova L.
4-66-36-4
Bencic B.[12]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-2
Ruse E.
Rogers S.
3-66-16-4
Martic P.
Muchova K.
6-23-66-1
Halep S.
Cornet A.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.
Avanesyan E.
6-47-60
Fernandez L.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[14]
1-66-26-2
Alexandrova E.
Stephens S.
6-16-2
Brengle M.
Kostyuk M.
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Juvan K.
7-54-67-5