Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — US Open Semi-final

US Open · WTA · Semi-final
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
Jessica Pegula
USA
Jessica Pegula
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Sabalenka A.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Pegula J.
Sabalenka A.
4662
Pegula J.
6341

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the US Open semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 8–4, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 9–4.

Key context

Head to head

8–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-20BerlinSFgrassJessica Pegula4-6 7.7-6.4 0-6
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-3
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-4 7-6(2)
2025-03-18MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-05-09RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2021-04-29MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
96
Serve
68
39
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
96
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
76

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.
Anisimova A.
6-37-63
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.
Osaka N.
6-747-636-3
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
4-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.
Vondrousova M.
W/O
Anisimova A.
Swiatek I.
6-46-3
Pegula J.
Krejcikova B.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
6-47-63
R16
Osaka N.
Gauff C.
6-36-2
Pegula J.
Li A.
6-16-2
Muchova K.
Kostyuk M.
6-36-706-3
Vondrousova M.
Rybakina E.
6-45-76-2
Sabalenka A.
Bucsa C.
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.
Townsend T.
1-67-6136-3
Swiatek I.
Alexandrova E.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.
Haddad Maia B.
6-06-3
R32
Li A.
Hon P.
7-56-3
Bucsa C.
Mertens E.
3-67-56-3
Alexandrova E.
Siegemund L.
6-06-1
Sabalenka A.
Fernandez L.
6-37-62
Pegula J.
Azarenka V.
6-17-5
Townsend T.
Andreeva M.
7-56-2
Vondrousova M.
Paolini J.
7-646-1
Anisimova A.
Cristian J.
6-44-66-2
Swiatek I.
Kalinskaya A.
7-626-4
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.
6-04-66-3
Haddad Maia B.
Sakkari M.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Gauff C.
Frech M.
6-36-1
Kostyuk M.
Parry D.
3-66-46-2
Muchova K.
Noskova L.
6-756-46-2
Krejcikova B.
Navarro E.
4-66-46-4
R64
Noskova L.
Lys E.
6-43-0
Paolini J.
Jovic I.
6-36-3
Parry D.
Zarazua R.
6-22-67-67
Mertens E.
Sun L.
6-26-3
Anisimova A.
Joint M.
7-626-2
Andreeva M.
Potapova A.
6-16-3
Pegula J.
Blinkova A.
6-16-3
Muchova K.
Cirstea S.
7-606-736-4
Kasatkina D.
Rakhimova K.
6-24-67-5
Osaka N.
Baptiste H.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.
Lamens S.
6-14-66-4
Frech M.
Stearns P.
6-766-36-2
Gauff C.
Vekic D.
7-656-2
Bucsa C.
Eala A.
6-46-3
Cristian J.
Krueger A.
4-66-26-2
Hon P.
Samsonova L.
4-66-36-2
Sakkari M.
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Fernandez L.
Jacquemot E.
2-66-36-2
Sabalenka A.
Kudermetova P.
7-646-2
Haddad Maia B.
Golubic V.
6-16-4
Navarro E.
Mcnally C.
6-26-1
Azarenka V.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-3
Kalinskaya A.
Putintseva Y.
6-17-5
Rybakina E.
Valentova T.
6-37-67
Raducanu E.
Tjen J.
6-26-1
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.
7-676-2
Siegemund L.
Zakharova A.
6-46-2
Alexandrova E.
Wang X.
6-26-2
Li A.
Bencic B.
6-36-3
Krejcikova B.
Uchijima M.
6-46-2
Townsend T.
Ostapenko J.
7-56-1
Kostyuk M.
Sonmez Z.
7-56-756-3
R128
Kudermetova P.
Parrizas Diaz N.
2-2
Swiatek I.
Arango E.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Uchijima M.
Danilovic O.
7-624-67-69
Ostapenko J.
Wang X.
6-46-3
Townsend T.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.
Masarova R.
7-56-1
Jacquemot E.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-3
Fernandez L.
Marino R.
6-26-1
Sun L.
Osorio C.
6-42-66-0
Bucsa C.
Liu C.
6-26-1
Eala A.
Tauson C.
6-32-67-611
Rybakina E.
Pareja J.
6-36-0
Valentova T.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-4
Raducanu E.
Shibahara E.
6-16-2
Tjen J.
Kudermetova V.
6-44-66-4
Kessler M.
Linette M.
7-57-5
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-37-63
Li A.
Sramkova R.
4-66-26-4
Jovic I.
Sasnovich A.
7-666-3
Paolini J.
Aiava D.
6-27-64
Hon P.
Jeanjean L.
6-37-5
Pegula J.
Sherif M.
6-06-4
Samsonova L.
Yuan Y.
2-66-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Yastremska D.
6-757-656-4
Azarenka V.
Inoue H.
7-606-4
Navarro E.
Wang Y.
7-696-3
Lamens S.
Glozman V.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Zhu L.
6-44-66-2
Putintseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
6-47-64
Siegemund L.
Shnaider D.
7-632-66-3
Zakharova A.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Dolehide C.
2-66-46-2
Alexandrova E.
Sevastova A.
6-46-1
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.
6-26-4
Sakkari M.
Maria T.
6-36-2
Haddad Maia B.
Kartal S.
6-31-66-1
Krueger A.
Kenin S.
5-76-46-2
Gauff C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-727-5
Vekic D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-3
Baptiste H.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Rakhimova K.
Garcia C.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Semenistaja D.
7-56-0
Frech M.
Gibson T.
6-26-2
Parry D.
Kvitova P.
6-16-0
Sonmez Z.
Volynets K.
6-36-4
Osaka N.
Minnen G.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Noskova L.
Galfi D.
6-47-5
Lys E.
Jones F.
6-07-5
Cirstea S.
Sierra S.
7-56-0
Bencic B.
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Mertens E.
Ahn A.
6-16-0
Kasatkina D.
Ruse E.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.
Mboko V.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.
Parks A.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Keys M.
6-7107-637-5
Muchova K.
Williams V.
6-32-66-1
Anisimova A.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-47-66
Cristian J.
Collins D.
6-26-0
Golubic V.
Boisson L.
3-67-636-2
Kalinskaya A.
Ngounoue C.
6-05-76-4