Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Riyadh Finals Round Robin

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025
hard
USA
Jessica Pegula
[5]
#5WTA
2103ELO
2061Hard ELO
$2.6MYTD
$24MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 2-6 6-3 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 8–3, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 9–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 6–3.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Pegula J.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.0+150 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 2061
6.9Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 2103
4.9
H2H
5.1
7.7
Surface form
8.3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
6262
Pegula J.
4631

Head to head

8–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-4 7-6(2)
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-05-09RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2021-04-29MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Pegula J.
65%1st serve in+1%64%
74%1st serve points won+3%71%
56%2nd serve points won+4%52%
68%Service points won+4%64%
43%Return points won+1%44%
70%Break points saved+6%64%
5.4Aces / match+0.45
2Double faults / match+0.21.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-37-60
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[6]
Pegula J.[5]
4-66-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-33-66-3
Round Robin
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[5]
6-42-66-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Alexandrova E.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Swiatek I.[2]
3-66-16-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[7]
6-16-2
Anisimova A.[4]
Keys M.[7]
4-66-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
7-656-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-1
Pegula J.[5]
Gauff C.[3]
6-36-746-2
Pegula J.[5]
Paolini J.[8]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-736-46-2