Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaFort Worth Finals Round Robin

Fort Worth Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#5WTA
2103ELO
2061Hard ELO
$2.6MYTD
$24MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 7-5 in the Fort Worth Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 8–3. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 9–3.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+150 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 2061
6.9Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 2103
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
8.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
5.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
672
Pegula J.
350

Head to head

83
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-3
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-4 7-6(2)
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3
2022-05-09RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2021-04-29MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
65%1st serve in+1%64%
74%1st serve points won+3%71%
56%2nd serve points won+4%52%
68%Service points won+4%64%
43%Return points won+1%44%
70%Break points saved+6%64%
5.4Aces / match+0.45
2Double faults / match+0.21.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.