Taylor Townsend vs Daria KasatkinaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#79WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Townsend T.
6-1 2-6 6-1
Kasatkina D.
Townsend T.
6262
Kasatkina D.
1611

Taylor Townsend defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-1 2-6 6-1 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Taylor Townsend claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Taylor Townsend closed it out in three sets, 6–1 2–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-01San JoseR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Townsend T.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Townsend T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Townsend T.Kasatkina D.
70
Serve
0
54
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
72
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
80
Break points won·Dominant
55
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+39 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1757
5.1Overall Elo 1826
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
3.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.7
Country comfort
5.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
89

Townsend T.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw