Paula Badosa vs Anna KalinskayaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Badosa P.
6-3 6-2
Kalinskaya A.
Badosa P.
662
Kalinskaya A.
320

Paula Badosa defeated Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anna Kalinskaya came in ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Paula Badosa claimed a first win over Anna Kalinskaya in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonR16clayAnna Kalinskaya6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Kalinskaya A.
21
Serve
36
19
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
88
Break points won·Even
94
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
89
Tiebreaks·Even
94
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1907
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.2
Minutes 14d
8.3
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.2
Country comfort
5.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
58
87

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw