Anna Kalinskaya vs Paula BadosaCharleston Round of 16

Charleston · WTA · Round of 16
#20WTA
1907ELO
1804Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#115WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Kalinskaya A.
6-4 6-2
Badosa P.
Kalinskaya A.
662
Badosa P.
420

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Paula Badosa 6-4 6-2 in the Charleston round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Anna Kalinskaya came in ranked #20, defending last year's quarter-final. Anna Kalinskaya claimed a first win over Paula Badosa in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12CincinnatiR32hardPaula Badosa6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinskaya A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
39%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
7.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
95
Break points won·Even
97
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
95
Tiebreaks·Even
98
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+120 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1684
6.5Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1780
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.1
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
63

Kalinskaya A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 44%