Jessica Pegula vs Karolina MuchovaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Pegula J.
5-7 6-4 6-2
Muchova K.
Pegula J.
5662
Muchova K.
7421

Jessica Pegula defeated Karolina Muchova 5-7 6-4 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenSFhardJessica Pegula1-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Muchova K.
68
Serve
70
73
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
95
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+24 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 2034
5.2Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 2066
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.7
Surface form
8.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.9
Country comfort
6.2
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
76
51

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw