Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaBerlin Semi-final

Berlin · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 20 June 2026 ·
grass
#3WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWLW
Sabalenka A.
4-6 7-6 0-6
Pegula J.
Sabalenka A.
4701
Pegula J.
6662

Jessica Pegula defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-7 6-0 in the Berlin semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 11–3, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 11–4.

Around the match

  • Sabalenka staged a dramatic comeback from 0-4 down in the second set to defeat Bartunkova and advance to the Berlin semifinals.

    Sabalenka A.Karlobag.eu
  • On grass, I don't always try to aim every shot too precisely. Grass punishes overthinking because the bounce isn't always completely predictable, so you must accept a certain level of improvisation.

    Pegula J.Karlobag.eu

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

113
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-04WTA FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-3
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-3
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-4 7-6
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-5
2024-08-19CincinnatiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3
2022-11-04WTA FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-05-09RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2021-04-29MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
92
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
79
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
65

Pegula J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw