Karolina Muchova vs Dayana YastremskaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#67WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Muchova K.
7-6 6-2
Yastremska D.
Muchova K.
7862
Yastremska D.
6620

Karolina Muchova defeated Dayana Yastremska 7-6 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-08-27US OpenR128hardKarolina Muchova6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Yastremska D.
70
Serve
11
44
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
89
Break points won·Even
94
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
63
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.9+301 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1733
8.8Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.2
Country comfort
4.2
6.0
Surface transition
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
92

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw