Jessica Pegula vs Paula BadosaCincinnati Semi-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Semi-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Pegula J.
6-2 3-6 6-3
Badosa P.
Pegula J.
6362
Badosa P.
2631

Jessica Pegula defeated Paula Badosa 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25BeijingR16hardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0
2023-04-03CharlestonQFclayJessica Pegula6-3 7-6(6)
2022-03-21MiamiQFhardJessica Pegula4-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Badosa P.
68
Serve
21
73
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
93
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
95
Tiebreaks·Even
96
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
9.0+310 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1748
9.2Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1780
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.7
Surface form
7.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
2.2
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.9
Country comfort
6.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
64

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw

Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[3]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-36-3
Pegula J.[6]
Badosa P.
6-23-66-3