Daria Kasatkina vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-2
Alexandrova E.
Kasatkina D.
662
Alexandrova E.
420

Daria Kasatkina defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR32clayEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 7-6(3)
2022-10-03OstravaR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-1 7-6(1)
2022-06-13BerlinR16grassDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-1 6-1
2020-02-10St. PetersburgR32hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 3-6 6-4
2019-09-30BeijingR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Alexandrova E.
0
Serve
52
95
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 137). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
94
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
61
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1844
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.5
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
5.5
Country comfort
5.1
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
88

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw