Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina — Madrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
Ekaterina Alexandrova
RUS21
Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19WTA
1844ELO
1737Clay ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
Daria Kasatkina
AUS14
Daria Kasatkina
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Alexandrova E.
6-3 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Alexandrova E.
6772
Kasatkina D.
3630

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 7-6 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-2
2022-10-03OstravaR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-1 7-6(1)
2022-06-13BerlinR16grassDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-1 6-1
2020-02-10St. PetersburgR32hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 3-6 6-4
2019-09-30BeijingR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Alexandrova E.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alexandrova E.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
80
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
29
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alexandrova E.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1737
Surface ELO
5.0+33 Clay Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Alexandrova E.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Even
94
95

Alexandrova E.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-37-63
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[17]
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[24]
7-647-67
Svitolina E.[17]
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[5]
0-66-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
7-56-1
R16
Uchijima M.
Alexandrova E.[21]
6-47-65
Swiatek I.[2]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-06-736-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Sakkari M.
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
6-26-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
6-26-3
R32
Shnaider D.[13]
Sevastova A.
6-06-0
Svitolina E.[17]
Rybakina E.[10]
6-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[11]
4-66-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Samsonova L.[18]
2-67-626-0
Andreeva M.[7]
Frech M.[27]
7-56-3
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
6-26-0
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kudermetova V.
6-04-66-4
Gauff C.[4]
Li A.
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[21]
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[2]
Noskova L.[31]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[28]
3-66-26-1
Keys M.[5]
Kalinskaya A.[30]
7-57-63
Bencic B.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-34-67-62
Potapova A.
Kenin S.[32]
3-66-47-66
Uchijima M.
Pegula J.[3]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-1
R64
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.
0-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Kenin S.[32]
Sun L.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Masarova R.
Putintseva Y.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Eala A.
4-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Jabeur O.[26]
4-66-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Haddad Maia B.[16]
Pera B.
2-66-36-1
Sevastova A.
Ostapenko J.[23]
7-626-2
Samsonova L.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-46-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Parks A.
6-27-5
Mertens E.[28]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.
Linette M.[29]
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
7-656-4
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
4-67-617-5
Rybakina E.[10]
Andreescu B.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Bencic B.
Tauson C.[20]
7-57-5
Navarro E.[11]
Joint M.
7-57-5
Frech M.[27]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
5-77-626-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
Keys M.[5]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[30]
Parry D.
7-646-4
Noskova L.[31]
Carle M.
7-56-1
Stearns P.
Anisimova A.[15]
6-22-67-5
Kostyuk M.[24]
Raducanu E.
6-42-66-2
Potapova A.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[21]
Danilovic O.
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Kartal S.
6-36-1
Paolini J.[6]
Boulter K.
6-16-2
Li A.
Fernandez L.[25]
6-43-66-4
R128
Li A.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Wang X.
6-47-67
Parks A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Sherif M.
6-36-1
Carle M.
Sramkova R.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Arango E.
6-36-3
Pera B.
Fett J.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Osaka N.
6-42-66-4
Potapova A.
Krueger A.
6-776-46-2
Raducanu E.
Lamens S.
7-646-4
Eala A.
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.
6-25-77-64
Kudermetova V.
Kudermetova P.
6-26-2
Yastremska D.
Jones F.
7-654-66-3
Masarova R.
Tomljanovic A.
6-31-67-5
Parry D.
Begu I.
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Sonmez Z.
6-06-2
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-1
Dolehide C.
Avanesyan E.
6-46-4
Lys E.
Kostovic T.
6-26-2
Joint M.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-22-66-4
Boulter K.
Siniakova K.
4-66-26-1
Sun L.
Gracheva V.
3-66-16-4
Kartal S.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Volynets K.
Kvitova P.
6-46-0
Stearns P.
Birrell K.
5-76-36-4
Blinkova A.
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Uchijima M.
Montgomery R.
1-66-46-3
Andreescu B.
Kessler M.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Azarenka V.
6-46-2
Sevastova A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-47-5