Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria KasatkinaOstrava Round of 16

Ostrava · WTA · Round of 16
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Alexandrova E.
6-1 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Alexandrova E.
6772
Kasatkina D.
1610

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-1 7-6 in the Ostrava round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR32clayEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 7-6(3)
2024-08-12CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-2
2022-06-13BerlinR16grassDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-1 6-1
2020-02-10St. PetersburgR32hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 3-6 6-4
2019-09-30BeijingR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Kasatkina D.
52
Serve
0
42
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
80
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
29
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.5+42 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1757
5.6Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1795
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.9
Surface form
8.3
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
90

Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast