Elina Avanesyan vs Jelena OstapenkoCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#211WTA
1694ELO
1640Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Avanesyan E.
2-6 6-2 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Avanesyan E.
2662
Ostapenko J.
6221

Elina Avanesyan defeated Jelena Ostapenko 2-6 6-2 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Elina Avanesyan had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Elina Avanesyan claimed a first win over Jelena Ostapenko in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardJelena Ostapenko6-3 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Avanesyan E.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Avanesyan E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Avanesyan E.Ostapenko J.
Serve
10
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
53%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
60
79
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1640
Surface ELO
7.0+155 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.4
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
91

Avanesyan E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw