Varvara Gracheva vs Ajla Tomljanovic — Cincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
Ajla Tomljanovic
AUS
Ajla Tomljanovic
#94WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Gracheva V.
6-3 2-6 7-6
Tomljanovic A.
Gracheva V.
62772
Tomljanovic A.
36651

Varvara Gracheva defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 2-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 32. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

4–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR128clayVarvara Gracheva6-3 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayVarvara Gracheva6-4 6-7(5) 7-5
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-1 7-5
2019-10-14MoscowR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
3
Serve
26
27
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
Clutch Rating·Even
74
71
Break points saved·Even
76
73
Break points won·Slight edge
87
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gracheva V.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Tomljanovic A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+41 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1723
5.6Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1745
10.0
H2H
0.0
1.5
Surface form
2.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Country comfort
5.1
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
Freshness·
—
96

Tomljanovic A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[3]
Pegula J.[6]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[3]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-36-3
Pegula J.[6]
Badosa P.
6-23-66-3
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[3]
Samsonova L.[10]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[6]
Fernandez L.
7-56-717-63
Swiatek I.[1]
Andreeva M.
4-66-37-5
Badosa P.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-2
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-26-2
Andreeva M.
Paolini J.[5]
3-66-36-2
Fernandez L.
Shnaider D.
6-16-4
Badosa P.
Putintseva Y.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[6]
Townsend T.
6-26-3
Samsonova L.[10]
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-3
Sabalenka A.[3]
Svitolina E.
7-56-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Zheng Q.[7]
7-56-1
R32
Zheng Q.[7]
Frech M.
6-17-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Gracheva V.
6-06-786-2
Paolini J.[5]
Potapova A.
7-626-3
Sabalenka A.[3]
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
Svitolina E.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-1
Samsonova L.[10]
Linette M.
7-6106-1
Avanesyan E.
Ostapenko J.[8]
2-66-26-2
Pegula J.[6]
Muchova K.
5-76-46-2
Shnaider D.
Krueger A.
7-56-0
Fernandez L.
Rybakina E.[4]
3-67-636-4
Badosa P.
Kalinskaya A.[13]
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Wozniacki C.
7-56-4
Townsend T.
Kasatkina D.[9]
6-12-66-1
Kostyuk M.[15]
Sun L.
6-37-5
Andreeva M.
Pliskova K.
6-26-3
Putintseva Y.
Gauff C.[2]
6-42-66-4
R64
Kalinskaya A.[13]
Siniakova K.
1-66-26-3
Avanesyan E.
Andreescu B.
6-47-5
Muchova K.
Yastremska D.
7-666-2
Townsend T.
Dolehide C.
3-66-47-67
Kasatkina D.[9]
Alexandrova E.
6-46-2
Putintseva Y.
Dart H.
4-66-06-1
Linette M.
Boulter K.
2-66-07-5
Sun L.
Noskova L.
6-47-64
Pliskova K.
Tomova V.
7-637-63
Andreeva M.
Navarro E.[11]
6-26-2
Potapova A.
Burel C.
6-42-66-1
Svitolina E.
Wang Y.
5-76-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Bronzetti L.
6-43-67-61
Samsonova L.[10]
Wang X.
6-46-4
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[16]
5-77-646-2
Shnaider D.
Zhang S.
6-16-4
Fernandez L.
Yuan Y.
3-66-46-3
Wozniacki C.
Kalinina A.
6-26-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Haddad Maia B.[17]
4-67-646-3
Badosa P.
Stearns P.
6-27-5
Frech M.
Bouzkova M.
3-66-46-3
Cocciaretto E.
Montgomery R.
7-54-66-3
Kostyuk M.[15]
Mertens E.
6-42-66-4
Gracheva V.
Tomljanovic A.
6-32-67-65