Varvara Gracheva vs Ajla TomljanovicDubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 February 2022
hard
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Gracheva V.
6-1 7-5
Tomljanovic A.
Gracheva V.
672
Tomljanovic A.
150

Varvara Gracheva defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-1 7-5 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in leading the head-to-head 4–0. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Varvara Gracheva came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR128clayVarvara Gracheva6-3 6-4
2024-08-12CincinnatiR64hardVarvara Gracheva6-3 2-6 7-6(5)
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayVarvara Gracheva6-4 6-7(5) 7-5
2019-10-14MoscowR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
3
Serve
26
27
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 177). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
71
Break points saved·Even
76
73
Break points won·Slight edge
87
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.4+41 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1723
5.6Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1745
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.2
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Tomljanovic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 44%