Varvara Gracheva vs Ajla Tomljanovic — Rome Round of 128

Rome · WTA · Round of 128
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#88WTA
1810ELO
1701Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
Ajla Tomljanovic
AUSLL
Ajla Tomljanovic
#94WTA
1745ELO
1630Clay ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Gracheva V.
6-3 6-4
Tomljanovic A.
Gracheva V.
662
Tomljanovic A.
340

Varvara Gracheva defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 6-4 in the Rome round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 64. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

4–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12CincinnatiR64hardVarvara Gracheva6-3 2-6 7-6(5)
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayVarvara Gracheva6-4 6-7(5) 7-5
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-1 7-5
2019-10-14MoscowR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
Clutch Rating·Even
74
71
Break points saved·Even
76
73
Break points won·Slight edge
87
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gracheva V.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Tomljanovic A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+72 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1630
5.6Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1745
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.9
Surface form
3.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A.
Freshness·
—
96

Tomljanovic A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw

Final
Paolini J.[6]
Gauff C.[4]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-634-67-64
Paolini J.[6]
Stearns P.
7-56-1
Quarter-finals
Zheng Q.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-3
Paolini J.[6]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-716-46-2
Stearns P.
Svitolina E.[16]
6-24-67-64
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
6-47-65
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.
6-17-68
Paolini J.[6]
Ostapenko J.[17]
7-56-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Collins D.[29]
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Andreescu B.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[7]
Tauson C.[22]
5-76-36-2
Stearns P.
Osaka N.
6-43-67-64
Shnaider D.[13]
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-3
R32
Ostapenko J.[17]
Siegemund L.
W/O
Andreescu B.
Rybakina E.[11]
6-26-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Noskova L.[30]
6-17-5
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[27]
6-46-3
Shnaider D.[13]
Cristian J.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Bouzkova M.
4-66-36-3
Svitolina E.[16]
Baptiste H.
6-43-66-4
Kostyuk M.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-46-2
Raducanu E.
Kudermetova V.
5-76-06-1
Stearns P.
Keys M.[5]
2-66-27-63
Gauff C.[4]
Linette M.[32]
7-56-3
Tauson C.[22]
Navarro E.[10]
3-66-06-4
Collins D.[29]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-17-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Frech M.[26]
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kenin S.[31]
3-66-36-3
Mertens E.[25]
Pegula J.[3]
7-56-1
R64
Andreescu B.
Vekic D.[20]
6-13-66-2
Raducanu E.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sun L.
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[27]
Kvitova P.
W/O
Kenin S.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-0
Tauson C.[22]
Volynets K.
7-54-1
Cristian J.
Putintseva Y.[23]
7-627-5
Rybakina E.[11]
Lys E.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Dolehide C.
6-06-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-0
Mertens E.[25]
Lamens S.
3-66-26-3
Ostapenko J.[17]
Sramkova R.
1-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[7]
Arango E.
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Danilovic O.
6-16-4
Collins D.[29]
Ruse E.
6-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Anisimova A.[15]
7-657-5
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
6-26-2
Navarro E.[10]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-3
Linette M.[32]
Sakkari M.
1-66-46-1
Kostyuk M.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-46-2
Fernandez L.[24]
Ruzic A.
6-46-0
Frech M.[26]
Azarenka V.
7-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Mboko V.
3-66-26-1
Noskova L.[30]
Kartal S.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[3]
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Gracheva V.
7-646-1
Bouzkova M.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Golubic V.
2-67-56-1
Svitolina E.[16]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-47-62
Baptiste H.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-32-66-4
Stearns P.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-26-3
R128
Cocciaretto E.
Avanesyan E.
6-24-66-1
Sakkari M.
Bencic B.
6-20-0
Bouzkova M.
Sherif M.
6-27-5
Kostyuk M.
Eala A.
6-06-1
Azarenka V.
Osorio C.
6-26-3
Danilovic O.
Siniakova K.
3-66-46-4
Kudermetova V.
Stefanini L.
7-56-2
Sramkova R.
Kessler M.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Uchijima M.
6-16-0
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.
2-67-666-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Li A.
6-35-77-63
Baptiste H.
Blinkova A.
7-676-4
Sun L.
Pedone G.
3-66-16-3
Mboko V.
Zucchini A.
6-26-3
Andreescu B.
Urgesi F.
6-06-3
Kvitova P.
Begu I.
7-56-1
Ruzic A.
Grant T.
3-66-37-5
Stearns P.
Brancaccio N.
6-36-2
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-26-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-7106-46-2
Kartal S.
Birrell K.
4-66-36-4
Lamens S.
Zarazua R.
6-11-66-1
Bronzetti L.
Sevastova A.
6-36-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Raducanu E.
Joint M.
7-56-716-3
Rakhimova K.
Wang X.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Rus A.
6-36-3
Arango E.
Tomova V.
7-665-76-4
Dolehide C.
Gadecki O.
7-655-76-2
Cristian J.
Parks A.
6-26-0
Krueger A.
Bondar A.
4-66-26-1
Gracheva V.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-4