Mirra Andreeva vs Jasmine PaoliniCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Andreeva M.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Paolini J.
Andreeva M.
3662
Paolini J.
6321

Mirra Andreeva defeated Jasmine Paolini 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in ranked #5. Mirra Andreeva extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayJasmine Paolini6-3 6-1
2024-04-22MadridR16clayMirra Andreeva7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Serve advantage — Andreeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Andreeva M.Paolini J.
46
Serve
31
96
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
94
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+121 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1873
6.4Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Country comfort
5.1
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
72

Andreeva M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw