Jasmine Paolini vs Mirra Andreeva — Roland Garros Semi-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Semi-final
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
Mirra Andreeva
RUS8
Mirra Andreeva
#5WTA
2074ELO
2034Clay ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Paolini J.
6-3 6-1
Andreeva M.
Paolini J.
662
Andreeva M.
310

Jasmine Paolini defeated Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-1 in the Roland Garros semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Jasmine Paolini claimed a first win over Mirra Andreeva in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12CincinnatiR16hardMirra Andreeva3-6 6-3 6-2
2024-04-22MadridR16clayMirra Andreeva7-6(2) 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paolini J.Andreeva M.
—
Serve
62
—
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Andreeva M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Andreeva M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Andreeva M.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1856
Surface ELO
6.4+178 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 2074
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Andreeva M.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
93

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Andreeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[13]
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Gauff C.[4]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Jabeur O.[8]
4-66-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Vondrousova M.[5]
6-06-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Rybakina E.[2]
6-24-66-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.[28]
6-06-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Navarro E.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-46-3
Vondrousova M.[5]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Tauson C.[21]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.[30]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.[25]
6-13-66-0
Vondrousova M.[5]
Paquet C.
6-16-3
Avanesyan E.
Zheng Q.[7]
3-66-37-66
Jabeur O.[8]
Fernandez L.[24]
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[23]
6-46-2
Navarro E.[22]
Keys M.[19]
7-657-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-46-2
Potapova A.[28]
Wang X.
7-56-766-4
Danilovic O.
Vekic D.
0-67-57-68
Tauson C.[21]
Kenin S.
6-27-5
Gracheva V.
Begu I.
7-56-3
Svitolina E.[7]
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Stearns P.
6-26-1
Cocciaretto E.
Samsonova L.[20]
7-646-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Badosa P.
7-56-1
R64
Jabeur O.[8]
Osorio C.
6-31-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Osaka N.[16]
7-611-67-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Fett J.
6-26-2
Danilovic O.
Collins D.[11]
6-737-56-4
Paquet C.
Siniakova K.[32]
3-67-627-66
Vekic D.
Kostyuk M.[15]
7-56-4
Vondrousova M.[5]
Volynets K.
0-66-16-4
Gauff C.[4]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-4
Yastremska D.[30]
Wang Y.
6-26-0
Samsonova L.[20]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-1
Tauson C.[21]
Ostapenko J.[29]
7-644-66-3
Kenin S.
Garcia C.[21]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Andreescu B.[25]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
1-67-56-3
Avanesyan E.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Bogdan A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-47-66
Gracheva V.
Pera B.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Begu I.
Noskova L.[12]
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Azarenka V.[19]
6-33-67-5
Badosa P.
Putintseva Y.
4-66-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Uchijima M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[19]
Sherif M.
6-07-67
Navarro E.[22]
Errani S.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Bucsa C.[31]
6-16-4
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-55-76-1
Mertens E.[23]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Rus A.
6-36-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Wang X.[32]
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Parry D.
6-47-63
Potapova A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-26-2
R128
Vekic D.
Tsurenko L.
6-5
Zheng Q.[7]
Cornet A.
6-26-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Pliskova K.[20]
3-66-46-2
Rus A.
Kerber A.
6-46-3
Uchijima M.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-16-1
Sherif M.
Yuan Y.[10]
6-16-3
Osaka N.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-14-67-5
Martic P.
Mladenovic K.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Zhu L.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[22]
Sonmez Z.
6-26-0
Paquet C.
Shnaider D.[25]
6-36-1
Golubic V.
Krejcikova B.[24]
7-636-4
Stearns P.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-36-787-66
Yastremska D.[30]
Tomljanovic A.
3-66-36-3
Garcia C.[21]
Lys E.
4-67-56-2
Blinkova A.
Cirstea S.[18]
6-33-67-65
Mertens E.[23]
Carle M.
6-37-68
Gracheva V.
Sakkari M.[6]
3-66-46-3
Danilovic O.
Trevisan M.
6-16-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Galfi D.
7-57-63
Kostyuk M.[15]
Pigossi L.
7-56-746-4
Volynets K.
Krunic A.
7-646-2
Vondrousova M.[5]
Masarova R.
6-16-3
Zidansek T.[22]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-22-66-1
Cocciaretto E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
3-66-46-1
Kenin S.
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-2
Wang X.[32]
Bai Z.
7-56-746-3
Osorio C.
Kalinina A.
3-67-624-1
Jabeur O.[8]
Vickery S.
6-36-2
Korpatsch T.
Krueger A.
4-66-47-69
Parry D.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-3
Bogdan A.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-3
Pera B.
Hibino N.
6-26-0
Rybakina E.[2]
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[19]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Keys M.[19]
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Errani S.
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-2
Badosa P.
Boulter K.[26]
4-67-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.
6-16-2
Begu I.
Riera J.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
Udvardy P.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[10]
Frech M.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Sramkova R.
7-666-4
Paolini J.[13]
Saville D.
6-36-4
Fett J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-23-67-5
Wang X.
Niemeier J.
0-66-26-4
Collins D.[11]
Dolehide C.
6-36-4
Tomova V.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-37-65
Wang Y.
Timofeeva M.[24]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.[31]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Cristian J.
6-47-5
Tauson C.[21]
Maria T.
6-26-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Ponchet J.
6-26-0
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Burel C.
7-637-5
Andreescu B.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva E.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[4]
Avdeeva J.
6-16-1
Baptiste H.[26]
Day K.
4-66-26-2
Noskova L.[12]
Dart H.
7-636-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kudermetova V.[29]
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Potapova A.[28]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3