Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka — Beijing Round of 16

BeijingR16HardTue 6 Oct · 15:00Final2h 52m

Karolina Muchova defeated Naomi Osaka in the Round of 16 at the Beijing tournament, winning 7-5, 1-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Muchova hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, winning 69% of her first serves, while Osaka had 11 aces, 1 double fault, and 63% first-serve win percentage. Muchova converted 22% of break points and had 4 service breaks, compared to Osaka's 50% conversion rate and 5 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Muchova K. came through in three sets, with four breaks of serve.

  • Breaks of serveMuchova K. 4 · Osaka N. 5
  • 1st-serve points wonMuchova K. 69% · Osaka N. 63%
  • AcesMuchova K. 4 · Osaka N. 11

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 13–4Break backMuchova K. · Broke back
  2. Set 15–5Break backOsaka N. · Broke back
  3. Set 16–5BreakMuchova K. · Broke, never broken back
  4. Set 20–2BreakOsaka N. · Broke, never broken back
  5. Set 33–3Break backMuchova K. · Broke back
Serve flowMuchova K. broken 5 times · Osaka N. broken 4 times.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Muchova K.
10/15Osaka N.
12/16
Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Whole matchMuchova K.Osaka N.
EvenMuchova K.Osaka N.
Late momentumMuchova K.9
7Last 12 points5
9Last 3 games12
4/18Break points5/10

Break of serve

Match statistics

Muchova K.Osaka N.
Serve
  • 4Aces11
  • 1Double faults1
  • 69%1st serve points won63%
  • 67% · 10/15Service games held75% · 12/16
Return
  • 22%Break points won50%
  • 4Breaks of serve5

Serve & return performance

Key performance gaps
AcesOsaka N. served 11 aces, Muchova K. 4. Largest performance gap of the match.+7Muchova K.4Osaka N.11

Common opponents

15 shared · last 12 months
All 15 opponents →

Muchova K. and Osaka N. faced 15 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Muchova K. went 11–6 (65%) against them, Osaka N. 14–9 (61%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 1 better-results split).

11–665%Muchova K. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents14–961%Osaka N. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
24–17Sets30–22
193–168Games257–223
0–1Tiebreaks4–2
5–2Deciding sets4–2
Show 12 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

8 meetings · Muchova K. leads 5–3
Full H2H →
53

Hard: Osaka N. leads 3–2 · Grass: Muchova K. leads 2–0 · Clay: Muchova K. leads 1–0

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match
Muchova K.Osaka N.2 172ELO2 1252 024Hard ELO1 9538–2Last 108–230Age28178 cmHeight180 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $14.9M2026 $4.5MEarningsCareer $27.1M2026 $2.5M

Match info

  • Started15:00 local
  • Duration2h 52m

Cite this

Karolina Muchova beat Naomi Osaka 7-5 1-6 7-6(7). Umpiry, "Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka — Beijing Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-06/muchova-vs-osaka-beijing-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 6 October 2026).